Netanyahu has maintained a strong following by presenting himself as a steadfast defender of Jewish interests amid domestic, regional and international security threats
By Njoku Vincent
Israel’s parliamentary election is heading towards a political deadlock, with neither incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his main challenger, Gadi Eisenkot, projected to secure the majority needed to form a government.
With about 85 per cent of votes counted, the election remains uncertain, raising the possibility of prolonged coalition negotiations or fresh elections.
According to the Central Elections Committee, between 430,000 and 480,000 absentee ballots have been cast in the election, fewer than the 600,000 previously estimated.
The figures remain subject to change as election officials continue to receive and process the ballots. The votes, cast mainly by military personnel, are expected to be counted by Thursday afternoon.
The absentee ballots could significantly influence the final outcome, with each parliamentary seat estimated to represent approximately 40,000 votes. The Times of Israel reported that the outstanding ballots could potentially affect the distribution of about 12 seats.
Meanwhile, analysts say Netanyahu’s enduring popularity is rooted partly in the transformation of Israeli politics that began in the 1970s, when Menachem Begin’s right-wing Likud party gained support among Mizrahi Jews from the Middle East and North Africa.
Netanyahu has maintained a strong following by presenting himself as a steadfast defender of Jewish interests amid domestic, regional and international security threats.
However, his opponents continue to criticise his leadership, particularly over the failure to prevent the October 7, 2023, attacks.
Several scenarios could emerge from the election deadlock.
One possibility is a national unity government involving Netanyahu and Eisenkot, although both would have to make significant political compromises.
Another option is an Eisenkot-led coalition involving Arab parties, despite opposition from several parties within his political bloc.
Netanyahu could also seek support from right-wing parties currently aligned with the opposition to secure a parliamentary majority.
If negotiations fail, Israel could hold another election, leaving Netanyahu in office as caretaker prime minister in the interim.
The final outcome will depend on the remaining votes and the willingness of political parties to compromise. Until then, Israel faces continued uncertainty over the formation of its next government.